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UCLA Estimates 4.7 Million Californians to Gain Coverage

Amidst attempts to repeal health reform and challenges to the constitutionality of the individual mandate, a new report by the UCLA Center for Health Policy Research estimates that 4.7 million Californians will become eligible for health insurance coverage after implementation of health reform in 2014.

Based upon the results of the 2009 California Health Interview Survey (CHIS), this policy brief finds that up to two-thirds of California’s 7 million uninsured can gain coverage either through the health insurance exchange or through Medi-Cal expansion.

Unsurprisingly, the poor (incomes under 133% of the federal poverty level; $10,956 for one person in 2009) are projected to benefit the most, with 3 million becoming eligible for the Medi-Cal program. An additional 1.7 million with incomes between 134-400% of FPL are projected to be eligible for subsidies through the state exchange; 1.2 million Californians with incomes over 400% of FPL will be eligible to purchase non-subsidized coverage through the exchange.

The remaining 1 million are ineligible for Medi-Cal coverage or purchasing exchange health insurance (with or without subsidies) due to citizenship or residency status.

The full policy brief is available here.

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